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My January 30th election prediction

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Old 01-06-2005, 11:36 AM
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My January 30th election prediction

In case some of you have been living under a rock, the Sunni community has had the idea of election boycott ever since Bush denied postponing the election for six more months. It's estimated that ~20% of the minority Sunni population will vote for a government to put forth a constitution for Iraq.

The Sunnis believe that delaying the election for a few more months will insure broader participation from everyone, but mainly those in the Sunni Muslim population. As a result, Bush is faced with a double edge sword situation of time -vs- , money, resources, patience and stabilization. But the Sunni population thinks it's an obvious sign of favoritism for the Shiite community on Bush's part.

Unfortunately, I believe that will lead to an preemptive/alleged election scandal from the Sunni population and possible civil war with the Shiite population.

I just hope the Sunnis will swallow their pride and vote.
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Old 01-06-2005, 11:59 AM
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I think the sunnis will create thier own election fraud by using this as thier excuse. And that's all it is, an excuse. I say have the election, if you don't vote, you don't deserve to.

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Old 01-06-2005, 12:45 PM
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Without making much of a comment, I disagree. All that I will say is that when I was in Afghanistan and Kosovo, everyone was a bit edgy due to the potential for worst case scenario. I left Afghanistan a few months prior to the actual election, but my buddies over there who are on the operations staff are still keeping me updated via email.

There were more than a few attempts to 'scare' people away from the voter registration and polling stations, but mostly our (coalition) presence there kept order pretty well.

I believe that the Iraqi elections should go on pretty much as planned. There will be some 'incidents' here and there, but not anything unmanagable.
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Old 01-06-2005, 01:12 PM
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Originally Posted by gpatmac
Without making much of a comment, I disagree. All that I will say is that when I was in Afghanistan and Kosovo, everyone was a bit edgy due to the potential for worst case scenario. I left Afghanistan a few months prior to the actual election, but my buddies over there who are on the operations staff are still keeping me updated via email.

There were more than a few attempts to 'scare' people away from the voter registration and polling stations, but mostly our (coalition) presence there kept order pretty well.

I believe that the Iraqi elections should go on pretty much as planned. There will be some 'incidents' here and there, but not anything unmanagable.
Right.

I certainly hope so.
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Old 01-06-2005, 10:14 PM
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interesting point..

The international monitors for the forthcoming elections will all be out of country due to security reasons...

haha yah going to be one helluva election there...
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Old 01-07-2005, 10:26 AM
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Originally Posted by dr3d1zzl3
haha yah going to be one helluva election there...
I think we can all agree on that.
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Old 01-07-2005, 06:45 PM
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It's just another case of a middle east rivalry. It's happend a million times before and they just want to be +1
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Old 01-07-2005, 08:06 PM
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http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp..._re_mi_ea/iraq


It's probably going to be pretty intense.
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