Election prediction

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11-01-2004, 10:01 AM

Salty

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Election prediction

Finally! Tomorrow is the big day to determine who will be our next President. I'm going to be voting from a neighborhood house mainly for propositions because I'm sure Kerry will win California anyway.

So what's your prediction on the electoral and popular vote? I have a weird felling this election. Like I’ve said in the past, if Kerry wins I’ll probably shrug and carry-on with the rest of my day. Seriously. Therefore, I'd like to think of my prediction as just a gut feeling rather than bias for the person I'm voting for.

So... I think Bush will win the electoral and popular vote by a slim margin.

Bush 278, 50.3

Kerry 260, 48.3

But it's really too hard to tell and could be the exact opposite of the figures I posted. Nonetheless, I feel it'll be close to my figures.

Post them up!

11-01-2004, 10:26 AM

sloppyjoe

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^^ I am pretty much in agreement. But we won't know for another month thanks to lawyers and voter fraud. Especially if Bush wins.

Last edited by sloppyjoe; 11-01-2004 at 10:29 AM.

11-01-2004, 10:32 AM

njc200

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I don't think its going to be as close as people think it will be. Why? The majority of the polls only poll "likely voters." A likely voter is somebody who voted in the last election.

This year, there will be millions, MILLIONS, of first time voters. Most of these new voters are young people and minorities, who will vote Kerry.

My prediction:

Kerry 302 - 55%
Bush 236 - 45%

Of course, betting on the x-factor, like I am, can bite Democrats in the A$$. I guess we'll see.

11-01-2004, 10:35 AM

sloppyjoe

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Quote:

Originally Posted by njc200

Of course, betting on the x-factor, like I am, can bite Democrats in the A$$.

I hope so...

11-01-2004, 11:00 AM

constellation

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Well, as a liberal, democrat, or whatever, I really hope bush doesn't win - however, i'm pretty sure he will. The man has too many connections and too many powerful people are profiting from him being in power to allow him to lose.

It will be a sad day.

11-01-2004, 11:57 AM

SilverScoober02

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Quote:

Originally Posted by constellation

Agreed....You know Jeb will deliver Florida!

I'm just hoping the Redskins game outcome will tell the tale like it always does!

11-01-2004, 12:01 PM

FUNKED1

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It will be a sad day. Once again we will be given a chance to stop DC from destroying our country. And once again we will fail, by electing either the Giant Douche or the Turd Sandwich.

11-01-2004, 12:11 PM

SilverScoober02

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Quote:

Originally Posted by FUNKED1

It will be a sad day. Once again we will be given a chance to stop DC from destroying our country. And once again we will fail, by electing either the Giant Douche or the Turd Sandwich.

LOL, although I agree with you I cannot see what can be done until a strong third party candidate emerges that has the finacial backing to run a good race for the white house. I just think that Kerry can't be worse that Dubya has already been and the world might respect us a bit if we lose Dubya...