View Full Version : Election prediction


Salty
11-01-2004, 10:01 AM
Finally! Tomorrow is the big day to determine who will be our next President. I'm going to be voting from a neighborhood house mainly for propositions because I'm sure Kerry will win California anyway.

So what's your prediction on the electoral and popular vote? I have a weird felling this election. Like I’ve said in the past, if Kerry wins I’ll probably shrug and carry-on with the rest of my day. Seriously. Therefore, I'd like to think of my prediction as just a gut feeling rather than bias for the person I'm voting for.

So... I think Bush will win the electoral and popular vote by a slim margin.

Bush 278, 50.3

Kerry 260, 48.3


But it's really too hard to tell and could be the exact opposite of the figures I posted. Nonetheless, I feel it'll be close to my figures.

Post them up!

sloppyjoe
11-01-2004, 10:26 AM
^^ I am pretty much in agreement. But we won't know for another month thanks to lawyers and voter fraud. Especially if Bush wins.

njc200
11-01-2004, 10:32 AM
I don't think its going to be as close as people think it will be. Why? The majority of the polls only poll "likely voters." A likely voter is somebody who voted in the last election.

This year, there will be millions, MILLIONS, of first time voters. Most of these new voters are young people and minorities, who will vote Kerry.

My prediction:

Kerry 302 - 55%
Bush 236 - 45%

Of course, betting on the x-factor, like I am, can bite Democrats in the A$$. I guess we'll see.

sloppyjoe
11-01-2004, 10:35 AM
Of course, betting on the x-factor, like I am, can bite Democrats in the A$$.

I hope so...;)

constellation
11-01-2004, 11:00 AM
Well, as a liberal, democrat, or whatever, I really hope bush doesn't win - however, i'm pretty sure he will. The man has too many connections and too many powerful people are profiting from him being in power to allow him to lose.

It will be a sad day.

SilverScoober02
11-01-2004, 11:57 AM
Well, as a liberal, democrat, or whatever, I really hope bush doesn't win - however, i'm pretty sure he will. The man has too many connections and too many powerful people are profiting from him being in power to allow him to lose.

It will be a sad day.

Agreed....You know Jeb will deliver Florida! ;)

I'm just hoping the Redskins game outcome will tell the tale like it always does! ;)

FUNKED1
11-01-2004, 12:01 PM
It will be a sad day. Once again we will be given a chance to stop DC from destroying our country. And once again we will fail, by electing either the Giant Douche or the Turd Sandwich.

SilverScoober02
11-01-2004, 12:11 PM
It will be a sad day. Once again we will be given a chance to stop DC from destroying our country. And once again we will fail, by electing either the Giant Douche or the Turd Sandwich.

LOL, although I agree with you I cannot see what can be done until a strong third party candidate emerges that has the finacial backing to run a good race for the white house. I just think that Kerry can't be worse that Dubya has already been and the world might respect us a bit if we lose Dubya...

FUNKED1
11-01-2004, 12:13 PM
Well I voted for Dubya on the basis that he couldn't be worse than Klinton or Algore... Look where that kind of reasoning got us...

bassplayrr
11-01-2004, 12:21 PM
Well I voted for Dubya on the basis that he couldn't be worse than Klinton or Algore... Look where that kind of reasoning got us...


What was wrong with Clinton?

http://www.perkel.com/politics/clinton/accomp.htm

-Chris

Unregistered
11-01-2004, 01:14 PM
What was wrong with Clinton?

http://www.perkel.com/politics/clinton/accomp.htm

-Chris
He got a blowjob while fixing the government! What a horrible president....


Kerry by 58%....New voter turnout all time high for last 6 elections.